Countries with Declining Safety (2026)
October 6, 2026 — Rankings updated daily from 30+ data sources
Cite this rankingThese countries have experienced the largest safety score declines over the past week.
- 1 · Armenia -0.02 · 7.3 Weakest: governance 5.2/10 Armenia's score fell to 7.3/10 — down 0.02 over the past 7 days. Advisory consensus across 20 governments: exercise increased caution.
- 2 · Papua New Guinea -0.02 · 6.6 Weakest: governance 4.6/10 Papua New Guinea's score fell to 6.6/10 — down 0.02 over the past 7 days. Advisory consensus across 19 governments: exercise increased caution.
- 3 · Australia -0.02 · 8.4 Weakest: environment 6.6/10 Australia's score fell to 8.4/10 — down 0.02 over the past 7 days. Advisory consensus across 18 governments: exercise normal precautions.
- 4 · Solomon Islands -0.01 · 7.7 Weakest: governance 5.3/10 Solomon Islands's score fell to 7.7/10 — down 0.01 over the past 7 days. Advisory consensus across 20 governments: exercise normal precautions.
- 5 · Micronesia -0.00 · 7.5 Weakest: crime 7.1/10 Micronesia's score fell to 7.5/10 — down 0.00 over the past 7 days. Advisory consensus across 13 governments: exercise normal precautions.
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the declining safety trend calculated?
We compare each country's current 1-10 score with historical snapshots and rank countries by the largest negative change. Scores are recomputed daily from 30+ public sources, so new conflicts, crime waves or advisory upgrades appear in the trend quickly.
What causes a country's safety score to decline?
Common causes include new or escalating conflict, rising crime, political instability, disease outbreaks and natural disasters. The weighted methodology (conflict 30%, crime 25%, health 20%, governance 15%, environment 10%) means deteriorations in conflict and crime have the largest impact.
Should I cancel a trip to a country with declining safety?
A declining trend is a warning sign, not automatically a reason to cancel: a country can drop and still keep a solid score on the 1-10 scale. Review the absolute score, the affected pillars and current government advisories — all updated daily — before deciding.